外商直接投资对我国体育用品进出口贸易影响研究

Impact of FDIon the Import & Export Trade of China’s Sporting Goods

DOI：

中文关键词:外商直接投资体育用品进出口协整检验误差修正模型 Granger因果关系检验

英文关键词:FDI sportinggoods import and export co-integration test error correction model test of Granger causality

基金项目:盐城师范学院青年基金项目（15YCKWQ009）

作者	单位
任波	盐城师范学院体育学院

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中文摘要:

采用Pearson相关分析、协整检验、误差修正模型和Granger因果关系检验，对我国外商直接投资与体育用品进出口贸易进行相关性分析、长期均衡关系检验，以及对短期非均衡的协调机制进行研究。结果表明，我国外商直接投资与体育用品出口贸易存在显著性相关关系（P<0.05）；从长期看，外商直接投资对我国体育用品进口贸易没有促进作用，而对体育用品出口贸易有促进作用；在短期内，外商直接投资的短期波动对体育用品出口有显著影响，外商直接投资与体育用品出口由短期偏离长期均衡关系的协调力度显著；外商直接投资与体育用品进出口贸易不存在单向和双向的Granger因果关系。并提出相关结论和政策建议。

英文摘要:

With Pearson correlation analysis, co-integration test, error correction model and Granger causality test, a correlation analysis was made on FDI (foreign direct investment) and the import & export trade of China’s sporting goods. A test of long-term equilibrium relationship and a study on short-term disequilibrium coordination mechanism were also carried out. The result shows that there is a significant correlation between FDI and the export of China’s sporting goods (P<0.05).In the long term, FDI does not promote China’s import of sporting commodities, but it accelerates the export of sporting products. In the short term, short-term fluctuation of FDI has a significant influence on the sporting goods export. There is a significant coordination of the relations between FDI and sporting goods export in short-term deviation from long-term equilibrium. There is no unidirectional and bidirectional Granger causality between FDI and the import and export of sporting goods. The relative conclusions andsuggestions are put forward.

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