中国体育产业与文化产业互动关系的动态计量研究

A Dynamic Econometric Study on the Interactive Relationship between Sports Industry and Cultural Industry in China

DOI：10.12064/ssr.20200308

英文关键词:sports industry cultural industry economy time series data econometric evidence

基金项目:教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目（19YJC890035）；江苏省社科基金青年项目（19TYC003）。

作者	单位
任波	盐城师范学院体育学院，江苏盐城 224002；上海体育学院经济管理学院，上海 200438

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中文摘要:

在全民健身和健康中国的国家战略下，我国体育产业与文化产业的互动发展，对满足人民日益增长的体育文化需求具有积极作用。采用产业经济学和计量经济学等方法，基于2006—2017年的时间序列数据，探寻我国体育产业与文化产业的动态互动关系。研究表明：（1）我国体育产业与文化产业之间具有很强的线性关系（r=0.981，P＜0.01）；（2）体育产业与文化产业存在协整关系，即长期均衡关系；（3）体育产业与文化产业不存在短期均衡关系；（4）体育产业与文化产业不存在单向和双向的Granger因果关系。

英文摘要:

Under the national strategy of national fitness and health China, the interactive development of China's sports industry and cultural industry plays a positive role in meeting the growing needs of the people for sports culture. Based on the time series data from 2006 to 2017, this paper uses the methods of industrial economics and econometrics to explore the dynamic interactive relationship between the sports industry and the cultural industry in China. The research shows: (1) There is a strong linear relationship between the cultural industry and the sports industry (r=0.981, P<0.01); (2) There is a cointegration relationship between the sports industry and the cultural industry, that is, the long-term equilibrium relationship; (3) There is no short-term equilibrium relationship between the sports industry and the cultural industry; (4) There is no one-way and two-way Granger causality between the sports industry and the cultural industry.

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